Home

May. 10th, 2004

eyes black and white, eyes

Bayesian about what?

So these halfwits say that rational people ought to be bayesian. Sure. But bayesian about just what? By imposing not the right a priori probability distribution (that will eventually be fixed by experience) but the right descriptional paradigm, the right "meta-context", memetic parasites can have even "bayesian" people believe a lot of nonsense; just propose as "independent" facts on which to be bayesians things that are not so independent after all -- by bombarding readers with systematically biased data to evaluate, you will easily tip their opinions toward the direction of your choice; and they don't even have to choose "right" rather than "wrong" -- they only have to accept your problematics, your choice of data to evaluate. That's where Solomonoff induction comes into play.

Read more... )
eyes black and white, eyes

May 2008

S M T W T F S
    123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031

Tags

Page Summary

Syndicate

RSS Atom
Powered by LiveJournal.com