François-René Rideau ([info]fare) wrote,
@ 2006-07-30 14:46:00
Previous Entry  Add to memories!  Tell a Friend!  Next Entry
Entry tags:en, evolution, evopsy, hbd, intelligence

Risk aversion, or Why smart women are worth more than smart men

Even though the topic is actively censored by the intellectual terrorists who control the intelligentsia with their political correctness, it is a fact confirmed by everyone's experience as well as by repeated scientific experiments that there is a measurable discrepancy between the distribution of general intelligence among men and women. IQ as measured in either sex leads to a normal distribution of intelligence along a bell curve, but the standard deviation of IQ amongst males is noticably larger, and the average of IQ amongst males is higher.

The first statistics means that there is a much wider variety in male intelligence than in female intelligence. If you want to find someone of average intelligence, you'll find a lot of females and fewer males; If you want to find someone really bright -- or really dumb -- you'll find a lot of males and few females; and the higher you set the bar for bright people (or the lower you set it for dumb people) and the more dramatically bigger ratio of males to females you'll get. The second statistics means that males in their majority dominate females in their majority in terms of intelligence. The previous statistics implies that this domination increases fast as we filter for more intelligence, although it reverses completely as we filter for more stupidity.

Now, I have a rational explanation for both statistics that does not depend on any significant difference distribution of genetic abilities at birth, except for one essential trait: that males in general have a tendency to be more reckless than females.

This trait is well-known and well-documented, and has an obvious explanation in terms of evolutionary psychology: females are genetically more precious than men, because they invest more time in children (if only the duration of the pregnancy); to illustrate things with their extremes, a clan all of whose males are dead but one is still doing well on next generation whereas a clan all of whose females are dead but one is nearly extinct. Hence it makes a great deal of sense that if risks are to be taken (and they are, in a dangerous world of wild animals and scarce resources disputed by even wilder human rivals) they should be taken preferrably by males. And thus this increased risk-aversion in female behaviour seems to have a strong genetic source, observable in humans as well as in all other animal species.

What does this difference in risk-aversion have to do with the distribution of intelligence, will you ask? Everything! Because more risks means more selection, both internal and external.

Let's start with average intelligence. Suppose that men and women are born with the same potential intellectual abilities. So far so good. Now, it is an observable fact, backed by many statistics, that males are born in slightly higher ratio than females (say 52% vs 48%), but that the ratio equalizes for men and women in their most fertile years (say 25) because infantile illnesses, teenage recklessness and adventurous youth tend to kill a lot of males and few females. This is completely in synch with what risk aversion means: males try more things, including stupid things, whether consciously or unconsciously, because their minds and bodies are genetically programmed to take more risks. Now, if there is any meaningful difference between intelligence and stupidity it will be precisely that intelligence leads to taking risks that are statistically more conducive to success whereas stupidity leads to taking risks that are statistically more conducive to failure -- most notably including lethal failure. Sure, there are otherwise bright guys who die in stupid ways; but as far as taking stupid risks go (such as driving fast while drunk, or engaging in deadly fights), stupid people will be far more numerous to take them and suffer the consequences. (For infant mortality, the standard explanation is that having only one X chromosome, male infants are not protected by redundancy against a whole class of genetic defects; but in as much as some genetic defects may imply ulterior stupidity, this also means a stronger selection against stupidity in males than in females.) Thus, the Bell Curve of male IQ distribution will be modified by time, and statistically, those near to the bottom will tend to not be there anymore to take a test. Hence an upward displacement of intelligence amongst survivors. This doesn't mean that anyone got any brighter, only that a lot of stupid people died. Starting with equal distribution in intelligence at birth we must necessarily expect that males be statistically more intelligent than females when they are adult. If adult females were statistically just as bright as adult males, that would be quite an anomaly that would require a lot of scientific studies.

Now, my pet theory is that risk aversion also explains the larger standard deviation in male intelligence, and thus the fact that very intelligent women are much rarer than very intelligent men, especially as you look for higher intelligence. Indeed, I contend that a large part of what makes for intelligence, apart from innate genetic predispositions (that I'll hypothesize are distributed equally amongst males and females) is about exploring new hypotheses -- throwing ideas and seeing what sticks. Of course, people will adopt or reject those original ideas depending on their individual bullshit filter: their reasoning abilities. People with worse filters will on average adopt more stupid ideas and thus grow dumber with time; people with better filters will on average adopt more intelligent ideas and thus grow wiser with time. But it is important to note that the propensity to take intellectual risks (imagination?) decides on how fast a person evolves; and among the good or bad ideas that may or may not stick are patterns of thought that are instrumental in generating more good ideas and rejecting more bad ideas: key metaideas that lead to an exponential growth (or degeneration) in intellectual abilities (including growth beyond the point when it becomes stupidly too much for your own good). Thus, if the strongly genetically driven tendency of females to be more risk averse has any implication in intellectual life (and burden of the proof is upon those who'd claim the opposite), then women will statistically throw fewer original ideas, then the necessary consequence is that fewer original ideas will stick to their minds, whether good or bad, and including those key mind habits that make a mind stand out as either brighter or dumber. This increased risk aversion by females, which might take forms as simple as worrying more about immediate daily problems and less about far-fetched abstract concepts, means that intelligence distribution amongst females will necessarily have a narrower standard deviation than intelligence distribution amongst males. In as much as innate filters were externally selected for their effectiveness and that ideas have cumulative good effects more so than cumulative bad effects, relative shortage of risky intellectual activity may also contribute to a difference in IQ averages.

This is what I mean by internal selection vs external selection: selection of ideas within a given individual's minds, as opposed to selection of individuals who have brighter ideas over individuals who have stupider ideas. (A topic I once promised to develop regarding programming languages, and once again leave as an exercise to the gentle macroexpander.)

Ben once wrote that One good Husband is worth two good Wives; for the scarcer things are, the more they're valued. Well, then by the same token, one intelligent woman is worth a lot of intelligent men.

Post-Scriptum: For the record, the more common hypotheses for discrepancy in female intelligence are (1) that female intellect, just like female body, matures sooner than male intellect and then stops growing, and that (2) sexual hormones play a role in brain development and/or activity, especially in areas that process spatial representation.



(Post a new comment)


[info]averros
2006-07-31 04:39 am UTC (link)
Here's the illustration from my old post (in Russian, so I'm not providing the reference) making the very same points:

(Reply to this)


[info]averros
2006-07-31 05:04 am UTC (link)
Oh, and the standard explanation for the higher variance of male phenotypic qualities is:

1. The cost of fathering a child is low for males, high for females.

2. A male can father thousands of children, a female is severly limited.

3. It follows that the evolutionary cost of high variance in males are low (low quality males don't get to copulate, and the high-quality males are quite adequate for making the population reproductively successful) while benefits are high (fast adaptation to changing external conditions). It's opposite for the females.

4. The biological evolutionary algorithm tunes not only fitness of organisms but also parameters of the algorithm itself (such as rate of mutations, quality of error correction, placement of loci of genetic polymorphism, etc).

5. Because of the factors above, such difference in variance is the logical result of evolutionary optimization.

The riskiness of male behaviour has the same reasons - just like the higher phenotypic variance, it works to increase selective pressure for higher fitness, and thus increases rate of adaptation to the changing environment.

Note that these arguments rely on the fact that humans are not biologically monogamous.

The monogamy in humans is purely cultural, and is expained by the economic advantage it gave to the agrarian proto-states which had their wealth (and, therefore, means for offensive and defensive warfare) directly proportional to the number of people. Because in agrarian societies productivity of labour does not depend much on quality of a peasant, the monogamy yielded the highest sustainable number of children per female (and thus the fastest population growth). It also reduces quality of population in the long run (by severely reducing selective pressure, thus allowing mildly harmful mutations to accumulate).

The same holds for the industrial societies dependent on manual labour.

In the societies which depended on the individual qualities of males (i.e. nomadic raiders) the polygamy was much better from the evolutionary point of view, so the descendants of these still retain polygamy as the cultural norm.

The interesting development is that in the post-industrial societies the quality of population again becomes more important than quantity. Hence, the growing acceptance of polygamy in the West, particularly in high-tech centers.

(Reply to this)

correction
[info]gustavolacerda
2006-07-31 10:20 pm UTC (link)
People with weaker filters will on average adopt more stupid ideas and thus grow dumber with time; people with weaker filters will on average adopt more intelligent ideas and thus grow wiser with time. But it is important to note that the propensity to take intellectual risks (imagination?) decides on how fast a person evolves.

(Reply to this)(Thread)

Re: correction
[info]fare
2006-08-02 06:32 pm UTC (link)
I implicitly used "weaker" as meaning "doesn't reject as many bad ideas", and you implicitly used "weaker" as meaning "doesn't reject as many ideas, good or bad". Both are relevant, and they are correlated, but quite different nonetheless.

(Reply to this)(Parent)(Thread)

Re: correction
[info]gustavolacerda
2006-08-02 06:38 pm UTC (link)
I didn't use anything. I was quoting you, trying to point out that you used "people with weaker filters" in both places.

This seems like a contradiction:
People who X thus grow dumber with time.
People who X thus grow wiser with time.

(Reply to this)(Parent)(Thread)

Re: correction
[info]fare
2006-08-03 12:41 am UTC (link)
There was a typo in the original post. I was using "weaker" twice. I now use "worse" and "better". Thanks for your careful reading.

(Reply to this)(Parent)

What is "smart" ?
(Anonymous)
2006-08-02 11:25 am UTC (link)
You seem to value intelligence very much. But intelligence is not the only important thing : wisdom is the other one.

In my own experience (I am male), what you call being "risk averse" is also
often related to a way of being that I find to be cooler, more desirable, and to say things plainly, more *useful*, perhaps : too often, I had the feeling that male-related attitudes are full of intolerance and, quite often (the two things are related), full of unfounded self-confidence.

To summarize, I have the feeling that your opinion only gives a partial account of reality, and that it promotes a rationalist attitude which doesn't seem to be completely reasonable.

(Reply to this)(Thread)

Re: What is "smart" ?
[info]fare
2006-08-02 06:51 pm UTC (link)
I certainly value intelligence, which is the one and only asset we have to progress from animality and barbarianism towards humanity and civilization.

"Wisdom" means nothing if stupidity leads it into self-defeating behaviours -- including defeat at the hands of barbaric enemies. Wisdom is not independent from intelligence, but built on top of it. Animals can not possibly be wise.

That said, any individual difference, including risk-aversion, leads to comparative advantages, that make specialization and division of labour among people advantageous.

As for intolerance, it is an anti-concept that has no meaning but as a vain slogan. More risks in opinion-making certainly leads to more variety in opinions and thus more clashes. But clashes are not a problem unless there is a political power to impose one's opinions upon other people. And risk-averse people ready to support whoever eliminates dissent are as much part of the problem of people with totalitarian views (who are only a fraction of those people with non-average views).

If that's what you fear am certainly not a "rationalist" constructivist who thinks that an elite of bright people can design a better world from scratch and impose their views by force.

To summarize, I think you have a murky view of things and easily confuse very different stances on intelligence.

(Reply to this)(Parent)

What is IQ ?
(Anonymous)
2006-08-02 11:27 am UTC (link)
IQ is only a partial mesure of intelligence.

(Reply to this)(Thread)

Re: What is IQ ?
[info]fare
2006-08-02 06:36 pm UTC (link)
IQ is well understood. It measures "general intelligence", the ability of detecting and manipulating abstract patterns, which seems to be the skill necessary to understand nature and design new inventions -- i.e. the stuff that human progress is made of.

It certainly isn't everything that matters about the human mind. But it is indeed a good measurement of everything that is called "intelligence".

(Reply to this)(Parent)


Create an Account
Forgot your login?
Login w/ OpenID
English • Español • Deutsch • Русский…